Zovala zaku India & nsalu zogulitsa kunja zitha kupindula ndivuto la Sri Lankan komanso njira zaku China kuphatikiza

Ndalama zomwe opanga zovala aku India zakhala zikukula 16-18 peresenti chifukwa cha zovuta za Sri Lanka-China komanso kufunikira kwamphamvu kwapakhomo.Mundalama wa 2021-2222, zogulitsa ku India zidakula kupitilira 30 peresenti pomwe zotumiza zokonzeka zopangidwa (RMG) zidakwana $ 16018.3 miliyoni.India idatumiza nsalu ndi zovala zake zambiri ku US, European Union, madera ena a Asia ndi Middle East.Pakati pa misika iyi, US idagawana gawo lalikulu la 26.3 peresenti ya zovala zoluka, kutsatiridwa ndi UAE 14.5 peresenti ndi UK 9.6 peresenti.

 

Pamsika wonse wapadziko lonse wa MMF wapadziko lonse lapansi komanso msika wapadziko lonse lapansi wamtengo wapatali wa $200 biliyoni, gawo la India linali $1.6 biliyoni, zomwe zimangokhala 0.8 peresenti ya msika wonse wapadziko lonse wa MMF, itero ziwerengero zaposachedwa za Apparel Export Promotion Council.

 

Kutsika kwa mtengo wa Rupee ndi njira zolimbikitsira kuyendetsa kutumiza kunja

Malinga ndi kuwunika kotengera opanga 140 RMG ndi CRISIL Ratings, zinthu monga kutsika kwa mtengo wa rupee ndi kupitiliza kwa njira zolimbikitsira zomwe zimalumikizidwa ndi zotumiza kunja zitha kuchititsa kuti India atumize kunja, zomwe zimabweretsa kukula kwa ndalama pafupifupi Rs 20,000 crore.Kutumiza kunja kwa MMF ku India kukuyembekezeka kukula 12-15 peresenti, ngakhale ndalama zomaliza zakwera, atero Anuj Sethi, Mtsogoleri Wapamwamba, CRISIL Ratings.

 

Kusokonekera kwa ntchito zamafakitale kwanthawi yayitali ndi kuchulukana kwa madoko kudzachepetsa kukula kwa China kumayiko akunja malinga ndi dollar.Komabe, zofuna za MMF zapakhomo zikuyembekezeka kukula kupitilira 20 peresenti.

 

Mphepete mwa ntchito za RMG kuti zifike pa 8.0 peresenti

Mundalama wa 2022-23, malire ogwirira ntchito a opanga ma RMG akuyembekezeka kukwera ndi 75-100 mfundo pachaka mpaka 7.5-8.0 peresenti ngakhale apitiliza kukhala otsika kuposa milingo isanachitike mliri wa 8-9 pa cent.Ndi mitengo ya zinthu zofunika monga ulusi wa thonje ndi ulusi wopangidwa ndi anthu womwe ukukwera ndi 15-20 peresenti, opanga ma RMG azitha kupereka pang'ono kukwera kwamitengo yolowera kwa makasitomala pomwe kufunikira kumawonjezeka komanso milingo yogwirira ntchito ikukwera.

 

Kupezeka kwakukulu kwa zida zopangira komanso mphamvu yachiwiri yayikulu kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi yopota ndi kuluka zidapangitsa kuti dziko la India likule zogulitsa kunja ndi 95 peresenti kuyambira Januware mpaka Seputembala 2021, akutero Narendra Goenka, Wapampando wa AEPC.

 

Kutsika paudindo wa thonje wolowa kunja kuti mukweze malonda ogulitsa kunja

Zogulitsa ku India zogulitsa kunja zikuyembekezeka kukwera kwambiri chifukwa msonkho wa thonje wosaphika ukutsika kuchokera pa 10 peresenti yapano, akutero A Sakthivel, Purezidenti wa Federation of Indian Exporters' Organisation.Mitengo ya ulusi ndi nsalu idzafewetsa, akuwonjezera.Kuphatikiza apo, kusaina CEPA ndi UAE ndi Australia kumathandiziranso gawo la India pazogulitsa kunja ku US ndi mayiko ambiri.Kutumiza kwa nsalu ndi zovala ku India ku Australia kwakula ndi 2 peresenti pazaka zisanu zapitazi ndipo kufika $6.3 biliyoni mu 2020. Gawo la India pakugulitsa kunja kwa nsalu ndi zovala ku Australia likuyenera kukwera kwambiri ndi kusaina kwa mgwirizano wa Economic Co-operation and Trade Agreement. (ECTA) pakati pa India ndi Australia.

 

Kugwiritsa ntchito njira ya China Plus One

Makampani opanga nsalu ku India akuchulukirachulukira chifukwa chakuchulukirachulukira kwa nsalu zapakhomo komanso kusintha kwanyengo komwe kumalimbikitsa mayiko kuti atsatire njira yopezera zinthu za China Plus One.Zomwe zachitika posachedwa pazandale monga COVID-19 zakulitsa kufunikira kwamitundu yosiyanasiyana yamayikowa, malinga ndi kafukufuku wa CII-Kearney.Kuti apindule ndi chitukuko chomwe chikukula, India ikuyenera kukulitsa zogulitsa kunja ndi $ 16 biliyoni, ikulimbikitsa kafukufukuyu.