Kodi ulusi wa polyester umakhudzidwa bwanji ndi mafuta osapsa?

Russia ndi yachiwiri padziko lonse lapansi yogulitsa mafuta osapsa padziko lonse lapansi, ndipo kuchuluka kwa mafuta omwe amatumizidwa kunja kumatenga 25% pamalonda apadziko lonse lapansi.Mitengo yamafuta osakanizidwa yakhala yosasunthika kuyambira pomwe nkhondo ya Russia-Ukraine idayamba.Pamene zilango ku Russia ndi Europe ndi US zikuchulukirachulukira, nkhawa zakuyimitsidwa kwamagetsi aku Russia zidakula.M'masiku asanu ndi limodzi apitawa, mafuta a Brent crude mafuta amtsogolo adakwera ndi $41/b, zomwe zidapangitsa kuti mtengo wamafuta ukhale wapamwamba kwambiri kuyambira Jul 2008.

Komabe, poliyesitala feedstock, PSF ndi poliyesitala ulusi akadali pa sing'anga mlingo kuyambira 2007. Bwanji iwo mofulumira?

1. Mtengo wamafuta otsika umatengera momwe zinthu ziliri komanso momwe zinthu zilili, ndikusankha mtengo wazinthu zakutsika.

Kuchulukana kwamafuta amafuta kumayambitsa mantha chifukwa cha kuchuluka kwamafuta omwe amayembekezeredwa pakuyimitsidwa kwamafuta aku Russia.Ngakhale kuyambiranso kutumiza kwamafuta osakanizika ku Iran ndikuchotsa chiletso cha kutumiza mafuta ku Venezuela sikunathe kupanga kusiyana.Chifukwa chake, kupezeka ndi kufunikira kwamafuta kumatsimikizira mtengo wamafuta osapsa.

Tchati pamwambapa chikuwonetsa njira yopangira PSF.Polyester feedstock mtengo = PTA * 0.855 + MEG * 0.335.Mtengo wamafuta osakhazikika umakhudza mtengo wa PSF kwambiri.Chifukwa chake, limodzi ndi kukwera kwamafuta osakhazikika, unyolo wamafakitale wa polyester ukukwera, kuphatikiza ulusi wa polyester.

2. Kufuna kwa Bearish kumakoka kukwera kwa mtengo wa PSF ndipo kutayika kokulirakulira kumakhudza kapezedwe ndi kachitidwe ka kufunikira.

Pakadali pano, PX, PTA ndi MEG onse amatayika kwambiri, ndipo PTA-PX idafalikira ngakhale pa Marichi 8 kwa nthawi yoyamba m'mbiri.Zogulitsa za polyester monga PSF, POY, FDY ndi PET fiber chip zonse zagunda.Zimayamba chifukwa cha kuchepa kwa mtsinje wofunidwa kwenikweni.Pambuyo pa tchuthi cha Chikondwerero cha Spring, makampani opanga nsalu ndi zovala adawona kufunika kofewa.Choyamba, mkati mwa kukwera kwa inflation, kufunikira kochokera kunja kwa China kudatsika.Kachiwiri, mphero ku Southeast Asia zinayambiranso kupanga, ndipo maoda ena adatuluka kumeneko.Kuphatikiza apo, kuchepa kwa chakudya cha poliyesitala kunachepetsa kufunika kongoyerekeza kusanachitike mkangano wa Russia ndi Ukraine.Zotsatira zake, madongosolo akutsika sanachite bwino pambuyo pa tchuthi cha Chikondwerero cha Spring, ndipo potero, mitengo ya polyester feedstock ndi PSF idatsitsidwa mpaka kutsika kwambiri pakati pamafuta opanda mafuta amphamvu.

Pakuwonongeka, mbewuzo zidatulutsa motsatizana mapulani okonza, kuphatikiza PX, PTA, MEG, PSF ndi PFY.Mlingo wa PSF ukuyembekezeka kutsika mpaka 80% pofika kumapeto kwa Marichi kuchokera pa 86%.Makina opanga ulusi wa poliyesitala sanakonzekere kuyimitsa kupanga ndi zinthu zochepa komanso phindu lomveka.Tsopano njira yoperekera ndi yofunikila pagulu lonse la mafakitale lasinthidwa.

Mkangano wa Russia-Ukraine watha masiku makumi ambiri ndikuluma mozungulira.Ngati mafuta osasunthika akhalabe osasunthika kupitilira $110/b, unyolo wa mafakitale a polyester udzatsutsidwa ndipo ulusi wa poliyesitala udzakhudzidwa kwambiri mu Apr posachedwa.